Old Man Winter Is Still Here

As noted in a a few days ago in one of my other blog posts, Old Man Winter is not done just yet...

As of this late evening/early morning, the NWSFO in Tulsa has issued a Winter Storm Warning For my CWA to include Tulsa and surrounding areas. As can be seen in the graphic below, it looks like we could see anywhere between 1-4 inches with locally higher amounts possible.

This forecast has been nothing short of tricky simply due to the temps at low levels and not knowing what kind of precip will actually fall, but the snow totals are pretty much on course with the output of the NAM model as seen below.

We are currently seeing snow right now as can be seen in the radar graphic I pulled just a little bit ago. Bottom line is that it could be a messy morning for traffic across much of Oklahoma and Arkansas.

Right now (12:00am Monday morning) it looks as though the brunt of the heavy snow should fall along and north of I-44 and possibly as far north as HWY 412 and points north. Tricky part is going to be what the temps do just above the surface....if they warm just a little, then we could be dealing with more of a sleet and freezing rain event or even an ice event.

While this system will be short lived, it is certainly possible to have at least a few power outages and the like as well as messy roads through Monday....if you live in these areas, please be careful this morning especially if you have to travel as bridges and overpasses will be a big problem.

I will try to post some video later if I have time to get out and get some.

Next Real Weather system? And Soccer here we come!

A little Snow? Maybe? Current hourly RUC data has forecasted well with the placement of the cold front and it seems as tough that we *might* see a little snow in and around the Tulsa/northeast OK areas early this morning. Probably nothing more than a few flakes or even a very light dusting. But what caught my eye was simulated snow totals off the "next" system sometime around the 13Th or so. The simulated graphic below seems to paint about 3-6 inches over my CWA during that time which prompted me to really go over some of the other long range models....

Just going over latest 00z long range to medium range model runs including the simulated graphic above and it would appear that our next *true* weather system will be working its way from the Caprock into western ans central Oklahoma near the 13Th time frame (of course this is if the Euro is to be believed) GFS is hinting at some light snow accumulations for my CWA during this time frame so its something that I will keep my eye on. Long ways out and so much can happen....hard to tell right now, but something to watch closely. I know we need more moisture, I just don't want to deal with the cold!

For those that do not know already, Andy's funeral service is this Saturday at 10am in his hometown and many, many chasers will be attending including Chad and I if we can figure out the logistics and if I can get off for work. Right now it looks like if we can go, we will probably leave very early Friday Morning which is gonna be a long hard drive for many but certainly worth it to pay due respects. Not much more that I want to say about that.

And finally, Saturday was soccer sign up for the kids for the spring season so we are slowly making plans and trying to deal with the logistics due to the fact that my Son and daughter will not be able to play on the same team.....this is gonna be hell trying to get them to games on time, especially if the at different locations at the same time. Oh the joys having kids playing sports!

Will try to update the blog as we get closer to the next storm system ---hopefully it will not real bad. Just think, 2 1/2 months and we are in full severe weather season....it just can't seem to come quick enough!

Another Winter Storm?

I don't know about anyone else.....but I am sooooooo ready for spring!!!
After looking at the latest data and some of the local NWSFO, it looks as though we will see another major winter storm for souther Kansas and Northern Oklahoma. The graphic that I posted above is pretty much on course with current model data and shows some significant snow amounts through Monday night. After that it looks like we will see another winter storm in the Wed. /Thursday time frame. It will be interesting if this will be a trend that we could see going into the spring season.

Severe Weather and HDR?

As seen in the radar grab from my StormLab, the SPC/NWS has issued tornado watches for most of the state of Florida. Most of this convection looks elevated in nature but there could be a few tornadoes embedded with in the line. If you live in these area please pay attention to the weather today.

Also of real concern is the heavy snow and severe winter weather in the North today. Seen below is a radar grab from Grand Rapids MI which you can clearly see the snow starting.

This area is also an area to keep an eye on as they could see up to a feet of snow or even more in some places.

I have not really shot any pics as of late because I just have not had the time. I am going to try to get out this week and shoot some and may even try a little HDR stuff. I have been reading up on this "new" type of photography and I am really getting into it. I say "new" but HDR is really not new, I remember hearing of HDR a few years back but it seems that it is just now making it into the main stream photography world.....should be exciting to see what kind of images we can make. I will try to post a few links and maybe even a few pics with my next post regarding HDR photography....stay tuned.