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Tuesday, October 21, 2008

THE LAST CHANCE?



Looking at the latest data this morning, it looks like we may have a shot at some severe weather later today and tonight. This could be our "last chance" at anything tornadic for the rest of the season. As seen above from the WRF simulated reflectivity, it appears that we could see some spinners from North Western OK to SE Kansas.


The 0z run look impressive for this time of year and as seen below, there is a chance for a tornado or two over this area. I usually do not pay much attention to the sig. tornado parameter (STP) but I have found that this time of year it can be dead on.
Might be something to keep an eye on. As it stands right now, I would not be surprised to see a redbox go up later today and a few tornado reports come in if the models verify, will see what the soundings look like over this area tomorrow AM and hopefully we may get some decent weahter.



Speaking of data, Reed Timmer and company have put together a very nice forecasting page with all the works. It has got a very easy user interface and some additional tools that will aid everyone form the advanced forecaster to the basic spotter/chaser. If you are interested in trying to forecast or learn the basics, this is the place to go. You can check out his page here: www.twisterdata.com

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