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Sunday, February 12, 2012

Old Man Winter Is Still Here

As noted in a a few days ago in one of my other blog posts, Old Man Winter is not done just yet...
As of this late evening/early morning, the NWSFO in Tulsa has issued a Winter Storm Warning For my CWA to include Tulsa and surrounding areas. As can be seen in the graphic below, it looks like we could see anywhere between 1-4 inches with locally higher amounts possible.
This forecast has been nothing short of tricky simply due to the temps at low levels and not knowing what kind of precip will actually fall, but the snow totals are pretty much on course with the output of the NAM model as seen below.
We are currently seeing snow right now as can be seen in the radar graphic I pulled just a little bit ago. Bottom line is that it could be a messy morning for traffic across much of Oklahoma and Arkansas.

Right now (12:00am Monday morning) it looks as though the brunt of the heavy snow should fall along and north of I-44 and possibly as far north as HWY 412 and points north. Tricky part is going to be what the temps do just above the surface....if they warm just a little, then we could be dealing with more of a sleet and freezing rain event or even an ice event.
While this system will be short lived, it is certainly possible to have at least a few power outages and the like as well as messy roads through Monday....if you live in these areas, please be careful this morning especially if you have to travel as bridges and overpasses will be a big problem.
I will try to post some video later if I have time to get out and get some.

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